The Dark Side, Ready 4-A Fall ... i.e.,NotSustainable |
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Does
the United States still have a stock market? Not really. In a real market, when there are more sellers than buyers,
prices decline. And vice versa of course. That is called "price discovery"; or used to be. Since January of 2010 investors
have withdrawn a net total of 81 billion dollars from U.S. stocks and funds, this week marking the 33rd consecutive week of
outflows, while stock prices have staged a missile launch upward that started
in mid-July. Floyd
Norris of
the New York Times confirms that outflows have remained at record high levels over the last four years. Some of the
funds withdrawn resulted from industry insider selling, and much of that was re-invested in commodities and emerging markets.
But a substantial amount, according to Charles Biderman, CEO of Trimtabs, was withdrawn by middle-class Americans to pay monthly bills. In
an unprecedented interview on
CNBC, Biderman stated that the Federal Reserve is
no longer denying the fact that it has been rigging U.S. markets nor is the Fed making any effort to hide it. An unrelenting
and counter-intuitive rally has ensued, with stock prices gapping up at 4:00 AM night after night and never looking back.
Even before the Fed initiated its POMO (Permanent Open Market Operations)
injections of outright treasury buys in a program euphemistically titled "Quantitative Easing 2" (a.k.a printing money out
of thin air) the Fed's daily zero percent loans of taxpayer money to Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan were used almost exclusively to
buy stocks - and then sell them again within minutes or even seconds. Investment
banks use high
frequency trading computers (HFTs) programmed to essentially steal money, one penny at a time, from any retail investor
foolish enough to believe he could make money by trading or investing in stocks. Their computers, operating at speeds no human with
a laptop could match, front-run
orders,
ensuring a profit on every trade. Wall Street investment banks have the
right, unlike everyone else, to trade in increments of 1/1000 of a penny, allowing them to deny order fills by keeping the
price 1/1000 of a penny below the bid. It is one of many questionable and even illegal practices engaged in by what the internet
bears cartoons refer
to as the "the Goldman Sack" and "the JP Morgue". The web cartoons have gone viral, as they say, and served to educate
the uninitiated in the grand-theft-stock-market game being run by the Fed and the Wall Street gangs. The
website ZeroHedge.com has, over the last year, published several articles by traders who have monitored ongoing price fixing and HFT computer games.
Institutional broker, Gene
Noser says
that HFT trading systems threaten to destroy the entire capital market system. "[They] are unregulated, often under-capitalized,
and provide no redeeming social function. As I see it, they exist to extract value from real investors one fraction of a penny
at a time, over and over again." The
upshot of all of this is that while the economy has seen virtually no benefit from the Fed's massive liquidity injections,
Wall Street's top bankers continue to enjoy annual bonus payments in amounts ranging from 24
to 111 million dollars. Trading
records show
that "the Sack" and "the Morgue" have earned profits in almost every single trading day in the last three quarters.
How can that be? It can be because those two banks are the market makers, setting the prices, and then betting on the very
prices they themselves set. Las Vegas casinos are pikers next to these guys, since casino profits are limited by law.
Not so for the Wall Street gang. The big money players are not buying common stocks these days in any case. They make private
equity deals and trade off-market and off-hours in something known as a "dark pool", a cyberspace location I have always
pictured as a black hole in space. As George Carlin famously said, "It's
a club, and you ain't in it" From
a technical point of view, traders expected a washout low in stocks last August. It never happened, as that was the moment
when "the Ben Bernank" fired up his printing presses and digitally created billions of fictitious US dollars with which to
buy stocks and bonds. The last time that a central bank in a western democracy printed money this wantonly was in Wiemar Germany. And most of us know how that ended: hyperinflation that produced the
image of a wheelbarrow full of paper money required to buy a loaf of bread. In 2010 America, commodity
price rises are showing up in higher grocery bills and gas prices, higher education costs and health-care costs, but
so far nothing as dramatic as Zimbabwe's multi-thousand percent inflation. Could it still happen here? It could. There
is a
lag of 12 to 18 months for
liquidity to show up in consumer prices, so we cannot know what prices will look like a year from now. Gold prices have risen
steadily throughout the Bernanke liquidity rush, with silver showing parabolic gains over the last six months. Whether those
price rises reflect a loss of faith in governments or a fear of inflation, the end result is the same. Our currency is being
deliberately devalued, at a time when we are dealing with record job losses and wage depreciation.
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